Mybookie Presidential Odds

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On Thursday, October 22nd, the final Presidential debate of the 2020 election takes place.

President Trump equivocated over the second debate, mainly due to the Presidential Debate Commission’s decision to hold a virtual second presidential debate after Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis.

Trump’s stonewalling of the debate resulted in the presidential election odds shifting more favorably towards Biden.

Instead, both candidates held competing town hall events last Thursday. Trump struggled when pressed on taxes, healthcare, and the pandemic response. Meanwhile, Biden faltered on court-packing and his environmental framework.

Now that Whitehouse physicians no longer consider Mr. Trump a transmission risk, both administrations agreed to participate in the final debate, hosted in Nashville, Tennessee.

Kristen Walker, NBC Whitehouse correspondent, will moderate the event. In standard format, Walker chose six topics of debate: Covid-19 response, American families, race in America, climate change, national security, and leadership.

Additionally, the Presidential Debate Commission meets today to discuss restructuring the debate format to avoid a first presidential debate repeat. The commission is deliberating over the use of a mute button to avoid speaking out of turn.

What we are excited about, however, are these new odds dropped by MyBookie. Usually, we only post a few, but the unprecedented number of election propositions dropped changed our minds.

Betting on every single proposition here may kill your bankroll, so we selected the ones that appeared the most interesting.

WHAT STYLE WILL JOE BIDEN’S TIE BE

  • Striped Or Spotted -190
  • Solid Color +145

WILL JOE BIDEN HAVE A POCKET SQUARE SHOWING

  • Yes -400
  • No +250

J BIDEN WEARS MASK ON STAGE AT ANY POINT-BROADCAST

  • Yes +120
  • No -160

WHAT COLOR WILL DONALD TRUMP’S TIE BE

  • Red/Purple -220
  • Blue/Light Blue/Navy Blue +250
  • Black/White/Grey +400
Presidential

WHAT STYLE WILL DONALD TRUMP’S TIE BE

  • Striped Or Spotted +145
  • Solid Color -190

TRUMP – BIDEN TIE STYLE PARLAY

  • Trump Striped Tie – Biden Striped Tie +250
  • Trump Solid Tie – Biden Striped Tie +125
  • Trump Striped Tie – Biden Solid Tie +450
  • Trump Solid Tie – Biden Solid Tie +350

WHAT WILL BE SAID FIRST BY JOE BIDEN

  • Thanks +100
  • Hello +150
  • Thank You +200
  • Hi +300

WHAT WILL BE SAID FIRST BY DONALD TRUMP

  • Thank You +100
  • Hello +150
  • Thanks +200
  • Hi +300

WHICH TOPIC WILL BE DEBATED FIRST

  • Fighting Covid-19 +300
  • American Families +350
  • Race In America +350
  • Climate Change +400
  • National Security +400
  • Leadership +400

WHAT WILL BE SAID FIRST BY TRUMP OR BIDEN

  • Pandemic +175
  • Mask +200
  • Recovered +175
  • Who/World Health Organization +500
  • Cdc/Center For Disease Control +500
  • Fauci +700

WHAT WILL BE SAID FIRST BY TRUMP OR BIDEN

  • Class +175
  • Struggle/Struggling +200
  • Healthy +225
  • Breakdown +400
  • Traditional +400

WHICH STATE WILL BE MENTIONED FIRST

  • Tennessee -165
  • Ohio +250
  • Florida +250
  • Michigan +500
  • New York +600

MIN IN TO THE DEBATE FOR TRUMP TO SAY HUNTER

  • Over 15 Minutes 30 Seconds -120
  • Under 15 Minutes 30 Seconds -120

HOW MANY TIMES WILL D TRUMP SAY CORRUPT/CORRUPTION

  • Over 3.5 -120
  • Under 3.5 -120
Presidential odds vegas

HOW MANY TIMES WILL DONALD TRUMP SAY “UKRAINE”

  • Over 3.5 +120
  • Under 3.5 -160

HOW MANY TIMES WILL DONALD TRUMP SAY “BURISMA”

  • Over 1.5 +155
  • Under 1.5 -220

HOW MANY TIMES WILL JOE BIDEN SAY COVID

  • Over 8.5 -120
  • Under 8.5 -120

HOW MANY TIMES WILL DONALD TRUMP SAY COVID

  • Over 4.5 +100
  • Under 4.5 -140

HOW MANY TIMES WILL JOE BIDEN SAY “CORONAVIRUS”

  • Over 1.5 +120
  • Under 1.5 -160

HOW MANY TIMES WILL DONALD TRUMP SAY “CORONAVIRUS”

  • Over 2.5 -110
  • Under 2.5 -150

WHICH CANDIDATE WILL SAY “BLACK PEOPLE/AMERICANS”

  • Joe Biden – First -150
  • Donald Trump – First +110

WILL JOE BIDEN SAY “RACIST”

  • Yes -400
  • No +250

WHICH CANDIDATE WILL SAY “RACISM” FIRST

  • Joe Biden -400
  • Donald Trump +250

HOW MANY TIMES WILL DONALD TRUMP SAY “ISIS”

  • Over 2.5 -120
  • Under 2.5 -120

HOW MANY TIMES WILL DONALD TRUMP SAY “ANTIFA”

  • Over 3.5 +120
  • Under 3.5 -160

TIMES “RUSSIA” WILL BE SAID BY EITHER CANDIDATE

  • Over 3.5 -140
  • Under 3.5 +100

HOW MANY TIMES WILL “EMAIL” BE SAID BY D TRUMP

  • Over 2.5 -150
  • Under 2.5 +110

HOW MANY TIMES WILL “LAPTOP” BE SAID BY D TRUMP

  • Over 1.5 -130
  • Under 1.5 -110

WHAT WILL BE SAID FIRST BY EITHER CANDIDATE

  • Fraud +165
  • Liar +165
  • Corrupt +165

Sources:

WSJ
CNN

Despite the 2020 US Presidential debates being the topic of daily discussion at every MSM outlet and across the entire Internet blogosphere, the best Vegas election betting sites have been hesitant to include too many odds on the (allegedly) forthcoming events.

Indeed, these sites have not had a great deal of props in general for the upcoming November general and its various tangential developments and implications.

But finally, MyBookie is asserting itself as the leader in the political prop market by not only adding those Nancy Pelosi Presidential odds we argued for, but also by doubling down on all kinds of other action related to the election.

The most amusing of these, of course, are the Presidential debate props that the site has posted, which you can see below. We briefly analyze each one and share our selections, but keep in mind that to get in on these, you need to bet today.

Remember, election props have the habit of staying live for about 24-48 hours, and while the first Trump vs. Biden debate is slated for just two weeks from now, these lines could disappear at literally any time.

Bet early, bet often!

2020 Presidential Debate Odds – First Debate (Sept. 29, 2020)

@MyBookie

Will Joe Biden participate in all 3 debates?

  • No -220
  • Yes +155

Not a chance.

Will Joe Biden participate in the first debate?

  • Yes -250
  • No +170

Almost certainly. He’ll do at least one, then produce a semi-plausible excuse for abstaining from one or both of the others – like a “second wave” of the coronavirus or a “positive” COVID-19 test (for which there are odds further down this list).

Will Joe Biden participate in the second debate?

  • Yes -160
  • No +120

Tough call, so we’d stay away from this one. The landscape is going to change dramatically after the first debate.

Will Joe Biden participate in the third debate?

  • Yes -250
  • No +170

Again, tough call. If he balks at the second debate, he may have to participate in the third, given its proximity to the election. If he does the first two, the third may be less important and more worth skipping for the 2020 Biden campaign. We’re passing.

Will Donald Trump Say “QAnon”?

  • No -400
  • Yes +250

No. The 2020 Trump campaign has long tried to distance itself from the QAnon brand. Even if asked directly about group, it seems Trump would abstain from stating its official name, soundbites being weaponized as they are.

Will Donald Trump say “Sleepy Joe”?

  • No -400
  • Yes +250

The only way Trump doesn’t call Biden what he’s been calling Biden for the last two years is if he gets carried away with any or all of the 37 other Biden nicknames he’s used over the course of the campaign.

Will Donald Trump mention Joe Biden’s basement?

  • Yes -160
  • No +120

“Basement Joe” is sure to make an appearance. Take the “yes” at -160.

How many times will Donald Trump say “China”?

  • Over 6.5 -120
  • Under 6.5 -120

Probably zero. But “DJI-na” – as he pronounces the nation – counts, and he’s likely to say it a hundred times. Any talk of COVID-19, global trade, international competition, Biden’s conflicts of interest, and so on will be prefaced with the country’s name. Over 6.5, easy.

Will Donald Trump say “anarchists”?

  • Yes -240
  • No +160

Obviously.

How many times will Donald Trump say “Antifa”?

  • Over 4.5 -120
  • Under 4.5 -120

We’re leaning “over” on this one, but it’s a tough call. “Antifa” isn’t a natural part of The Donald’s lexicon. Proceed with caution.

How many times will Donald Trump say “Portland”?

  • Over 2.5 -280
  • Under 2.5 +190

The “over” seems safe. Portland’s Mostly Peaceful Protests™ have been a disaster, and they’re going to be a big part of the Trump campaign’s Midwest and West Coast ad blitzes.

How many times will Donald Trump say “Seattle”?

  • Over 1.5 +150
  • Under 1.5 -200

The CHOP Zone was so last month two months ago. The city will get a mention, maybe two at most. This is a tricky line, and we’re saving our Monopoly money (just kidding, we bet in Bitcoin!) for other wagers.

Will Donald Trump mention Ted Wheeler by name?

  • Yes +170
  • No -250

Ted Wheeler is the mayor of Portland. You know, the guy allowing all those riots to continue on unabated. But Trump may not give him the respect of citing his actual name, instead going with something like “that failed Democrat mayor in the once beautiful city of Portland” or the like.

Will Donald Trump say “law and order”?

  • Yes -500
  • No +300

You better believe it. Go all in.

How many times will Donald Trump say “law and order”?

  • Over 3.5 -120
  • Under 3.5 -120

Over. And over. And over.

How many times will Donald Trump say “Obama”?

  • Over 3.5 -120
  • Under 3.5 -120

2020 Presidential Bookie Odds

Honestly, we’re leaning “under” here. The lines are the same on both sides, which is a good indication of uncertainty on the part of the book itself. Normally, we’d pass on such a prop, but Trump will likely make the first debate more about Biden than about Obama.

How many times will Joe Biden say “Q” or “QAnon”?

  • Over 1.5 -250
  • Under 1.5 +170

Probably more than twice. The real question is whether or not he’ll actually be able to physically pronounce it properly or without a stutter. That’s probably why MyBookie is giving him the berth to just say “Q.” So even if he’s thinking of that annoying jerk on those basement reruns of Star Trek TNG, the “over” should hit.

Will Joe Biden say “very fine people”?

  • Yes +120
  • No -160

Biden has repeated this hoax ad nauseum and has never been challenged on the spot. Despite being debunked after the fact by every “fact checker” on the right and the left, he’ll say it again, even if he’s instructed not to. Take the “yes” at +120.

Will Joe Biden call Donald Trump a “racist”?

  • Yes +170
  • No -250

Probably not. He will, however, likely refer to Trump as “xenophobic” or a “xenophobe,” which is the way the “college educated” – even those that finish at the bottom of their class – like to make this tired accusation. Then again, that’s a long, complex word for a guy with brain damage, cognitive issues, and speaking problems. We’d bail on this one.

How many times will Joe Biden say “Antifa”?

  • Over 1.5 +200
  • Under 1.5 -300

There is no way to speak about Antifa in a positive light, but Biden will get no points for denigrating a party ally. Take the under if you must.

Will Joe Biden say “fact check”?

  • Yes -160
  • No +120

Of course he will.

Will Joe Biden call Donald Trump a “liar”?

  • Yes -300
  • No +200

Probably. We’d take the “yes” on this if we had to pick.

Will Joe Biden mention “Bob Woodward”?

  • Yes -200
  • No +150

Bob Woodward is an investigative reporter and associate editor of the Washington Post who has released “revelations” that the Bad Orange Man knew that COVID-19 was more serious than the seasonal flu. Back in February. After he banned all incoming flights from China. Because of COVID-19. Woodward’s going to get mentioned for sure, so “yes” is a safe bet. We’re guessing MyBookie will give Uncle Joe a bit of leeway on the pronunciation, too.

Will Joe Biden mention the number of USA COVID-19 deaths?

  • Yes -500
  • No +300

Is this a real question?

Will Biden misquote the number of COVID-19 deaths by over 100,000?

  • Yes +250
  • No -400

We’re 50-50 on this. Because of that, the “yes” payout is attractive. Earmark a few bucks here.

Will Joe Biden say “Russia”?

  • Yes -300
  • No +200

Duh, tovarisch.

How many times will Joe Biden say “China”?

  • Over 2.5 -120
  • Under 2.5 -120

They’re BFFs because Corn Pop is no longer with us, so China it is. Take the over.

Who will CNN say won the first debate?

  • Donald Trump +550
  • Joe Biden -1200

Bet the maximum on Biden. Empty out your life savings, take out a second mortgage, and go all in.

Who will Fox News say won the first debate?

  • Donald Trump -400
  • Joe Biden +250

Actually, scratch the above. Go all in on this one instead. Fox News is not a pro-Trump outlet. It’s almost a sure thing that the network will declare Biden the winner after the first debate. Of course, this is a world where there are no sure things. (Thanks a lot, Eagles. Losing to the Washington Football Team? Really?)

Aside from the above debate props, there are several other props you can wager on at MyBookie if you act fast. The following is an abbreviated list of our current favorites:

2020 Political Prop Bets

Will Joe Biden test positive for COVID-19 before September 19, 2020?

  • Yes +155
  • No -220

If he doesn’t want to participate in the first debate, he will. Otherwise, no. We’re leaning “no.”

Will Joe Biden drop out before November 1, 2020?

  • Yes +450
  • No -900

Only if he drops dead.

Will Donald Trump drop out before November 1, 2020?

  • Yes +1200
  • No -5000

Only if he drops dead.

What position will Nancy Pelosi hold on January 21, 2021

  • Speaker of the House -50000
  • US President +7000

MyBookie coming through with our suggestion! If you have a spare $20, take the dog on this. Remember, if the votes aren’t counted or there is pending litigation about the outcome of the 2020 election that lasts beyond January 20, 2021, at 11:59 AM EST – and if the Democrats retain the House – Madam Speaker will become Madam President by default.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize?

  • Yes -160
  • No +120

This is the wackiest political line in the history of wacky political lines. Yes, Donald Trump has been nominated for his second Nobel Peace Prize, but there’s not a chance in the world he’s going to win it, even though he’s favored to. Bet the absolute maximum on “no” at +120 before it turns into -10000.

Will a COVID-19 vaccine be approved before November 3, 2020?

Mybookie Presidential Odds Against

  • Yes +450
  • No -900

Election Betting Odds 2016

This could be Trump’s “October Surprise,” but there’s a lot of red tape to get through. Also, polling suggests nobody wants to take one in the first place. While the “no” is favored by too much and the payout on the “yes” is attractive, we’re trepidatious.

Day the losing Presidential candidate will concede the 2020 US election?

  • Nov. 3 +400
  • Nov. 4 -110
  • Nov. 5 +500
  • Nov. 6 +600
  • Nov. 7 +700
  • Nov. 8 +800
  • Nov. 9 +900
  • Nov. 10 +1200
  • Nov. 11 +1200
  • Nov. 12 +1200
  • Nov. 13 or later +500

Not touching this one, but November 13 or later at +500 is the likeliest outcome. There’s no chance in the world that all the mail-in votes will be opened, certified, and tallied within the first few days post-election. And then there’s the lawsuits. Oh, the lawsuits!