Nfl Sleeper Picks

The MVP market is usually ripe for some season-long value and this coming year looks to be no different with only two players listed with single digits odds for 2021/22.

I personally tend to pick a couple of players at the start of the season and then look for value during the year. The MVP award is based largely on narrative, and if something happens after Week 8 that tends to skew the view of the voters that way. So it’s well worth keeping an eye on Sportsbook Review during the season to see where they’re leaning.

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Everyone has optimism in the preseason, and with that in mind, we choose one fantasy football sleeper from all 32 NFL teams. See which potential breakout from your favorite team is worth bumping. Five NFL Dynasty Sleepers Heading Into 2021. There was 10 defensive lineman taken with the first 64 picks a year ago. 2019 saw 11 in the first round alone. Look for 2021 to be closer to last. Daily fantasy baseball news and expert advice. Top fantasy baseball analysis and rankings, MLB draft sleepers, waiver wire, DFS lineup picks. Win big in 2021.

As for sleeper picks, I tend to avoid the short price favorites as there are so many competitors. It’s worth noting that it’s even tougher to retain the MVP crown, Peyton Manning in 08′ and 09′ was the last man to achieve that feat, so Aaron Rodgers at single figures at the best sportsbooks doesn’t appeal to me.

Obviously, it goes without saying that Quarterbacks are the more likely winners of the award; since Jerry Rice in 1987, it’s only been QB or Running Back, with QB taking the crown 24 times and RBs 9, with the last being Adrian Peterson in 2012.

Unless someone has a remarkable season, you need to be looking at a team that makes the playoffs, so focus on them, and make your choices from that.

Matthew Stafford

The talented former-Lions QB moved teams in the off-season, and the talent around him means that things are looking up for him. He’s shown himself an iron-man through the years, so I’m not worried about injury’s meaning he misses games. Plus, the team seems to be all-in on winning the Super Bowl, and he’s got a better offensive line than he’s had before as well as Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods providing good WR options, not to mention one of the better coaches in the league.

Dak Prescott

Thanks to the Cowboys’ dismal defense Dak started the season having to throw the ball a lot, and he was on target to obliterate NFL passing records before getting injured and missing the rest of the year. The team struggled badly after he went down. As long as his recovery goes to plan, and the Cowboys actually pay him, there’s no reason why he won’t take the offensive talent on that roster to a winning season.

Tom Brady

Why not take the Super Bowl-winning 43-year-old as an MVP candidate for next season? He’s exceeded expectations and broken all sorts of records through the last few years, so why couldn’t he take his Tampa team to the post-season once again? With the easiest schedule on paper, the Saints probably losing talent due to cap issues, the Panthers rebuilding, and the Falcons being the Falcons, the division seems easier at the moment as well. They’re second faves for the Super Bowl in 2022, if they get there he’ll get the plaudits

Justin Herbert

I had to mention a couple from the AFC side of things as well, and while neither are too likely in my eyes (The Chiefs may well win the AFC again.) At the odds, this one isn’t the most terrible bet ever. There’s new coaching in Los Angeles for the Chargers, and with the talent on the roster, the team could step forward. Herbert won OROY last year, performing very well after coming in for Tyrod Taylor early in the season. If they manage to beat the Chiefs to the AFC West crown, then Herbert would be mentioned up there with the main contenders.

Carson Wentz?

Ok, hear me out on this one. Yes, he was terrible last season, but that’s going to be a long way away from Carson Wentz’s mind when he steps out for the Colts. He’ll be behind one of the best offensive lines in the league and will team up once again with the man who coached him when he was MVP-elect in his rookie season for the Eagles. The Colts are joint faves to win the AFC South with the Titans, and if anyone can return Wentz to form, it’s Frank Reich and the rest of the former Eagles on his coaching staff. A longshot for sure, but they should have a winning record this year.

We’re down to two games this week in what’s likely our last DraftKings piece of the season. The Bills-Ravens game really fucked us over last week with such a low scoring game, and now it gets even more difficult based on the lack of options available during championship week. After looking at the slate, it seems like you should fill in the RB spot first, and then move on from there seeing as I can only think of rostering two or three RBs on the slate this weekend. Per usual, there are a lot of options at wide receiver.

Anyways, onto the DraftKings NFL Conference Championship Picks & Sleepers.

Nfl Sleeper Picks Week 6

Let’s ride.

QUARTERBACKS

• Aaron Rodgers ($6,500)
  • After the injury to Mahomes and Allen’s dud in the Divisional Round, the NFC QBs are the only ones I truly trust this week. I thought the Rams might be able to slow Rodgers down, but the MVP made me eat my words and flat out DOMINATED the No. 1 defense in the NFL. Rodgers is playing at an elite level right now and he’s only scored under 20 DK points in three games this season. He’s as reliable as it gets.
• Tom Brady ($6,100)
  • Father Time finally caught up to Drew Brees, but Brady seems to have the fountain of youth at his disposal. He looks as good as ever and has scored over 20 DK points in five straight games. For Brady though, there’s plenty of narratives surrounding this game that should only pump him up, even more, this week. It’s also his first playoff matchup against Aaron Rodgers who many say is actually the greatest or most talented QB to ever play. On top of that, the Packers’ defensive coordinator is Mike Pettine, who Brady has had unreal success against in his career. Pettine is also known for expressing that Brady was a cheater back in the day. You don’t think Brady forgot about that, did you?

RUNNING BACKS

• Aaron Jones ($6,500)
  • Running back might be the toughest position this week, as it gives you very few value options. With Jones, you typically know what you’re going to get with the Packers’ workhorse back. He led Green Bay’s backfield in snaps last week 47-28-9, and you know he’ll be on the field in tight games. Jones has that elite big-play ability where he can rip off a 50-yarder seemingly at will each week. With Jones, you know the volume you’re getting.
• Leonard Fournette ($5,300)
  • While Ronald Jones has dealt with some hamstring issues, Fournette has rounded nicely into shape during the playoffs. Most importantly, it’s clear both Brady and Arians trust the big back moving forward. He led Tampa’s backfield in snaps 48-21-1, and while his carry totals were close to Jones, it’s the receiving work that’s been bumping him up a notch. In the two playoff games, Fournette has recorded 8 and 15 point totals just with his receiving work. A running back with Brady’s trust is extremely valuable in the playoffs.
• Darrel Williams ($4,800)
  • The last RB I’d somewhat trust in my lineup happens to be Darrel Williams in KC. CEH is still trying to work off his ankle injury, and Lev Bell is trending in the wrong direction for Sunday’s game. Williams actually looked solid against the Browns rushing for 6 YPC and catching 4 balls. If Mahomes is still a bit limited after his concussion last week, the Chiefs may look to feature Williams more and rely on him to move the ball on the ground.

WIDE RECEIVERS

• Stefon Diggs ($7,000)
  • Diggs hasn’t been priced this low since his Week 8 matchup with the Patriots. He’s scored 27 DK points in both playoff matchups this year and is the target hog in Buffalo. This price tag makes no sense to me and Diggs should be a lock for all rosters this week.
• Chris Godwin ($5,400)
  • With Antonio Brown OUT for this week, I’d expect a bump to both Evans and Godwin. In the prior matchup with the Packers, Godwin had 7 targets on the day which was the second-highest for Tampa Bay behind only Gronk. While they didn’t have to throw much because Rodgers essentially handed Tampa the game, I’d expect a much better outing this week, and I trust Godwin a lot more than I do Evans.
• John Brown ($4,300)
  • After getting over his dud performance against the Colts, Brown responded nicely with another double-digit outing after I completely faded him out of spite. He should have a great chance for more success this week seeing as Gabriel Davis is likely to be out, giving all other Bills receivers a slight bump.
• Mecole Hardman ($4,000)
  • I don’t know how healthy and close to 100 percent Mahomes will be on Sunday, but Hardman seems like a guy who can flourish in either scenario. If completely healthy, Hardman can catch a bomb touchdown and pay off the 4k easily. If Mahomes struggles, he could just as easily be worked around the offense in reverses and sweeps to rack up the yardage along with short catches and utilizing his speed in the YAC game similar to what Tyreek Hill did last week.
• Scotty Miller ($3,400)
  • He’s done nothing much over the last month or two, but I’d consider taking a flyer on Miller with Antonio Brown sidelined this week. I’m guessing Miller would take over the WR3 duties behind Evans and Godwin, who already attract so much attention.

TIGHT ENDS

• Travis Kelce ($8,000)
  • I’m running out of things to say about this guy. Just put him in the lineup already and get it over with.
• Rob Gronkowski ($3,200)
  • If you REALLY don’t want to play Kelce and think that Mahomes is going to be awful this week, I guess you could go with Gronk in this matchup. Back in their Week 6 matchup, Gronk went for 5-78-1 on 8 targets, all of which were team-highs that week. Plus, this is the reason Gronk came back to play with Brady, to make those big plays when it really counts in the playoffs.

DST

• • Kansas City Chiefs ($3,100)
    • As expressed in the QB section of this, I don’t trust rostering either defense against Rodgers or Brady this week. I’ll give the Chiefs a chance where they always seem to be ahead and in a great defensive game script where sacks and turnovers can occur.
  • Buffalo Bills ($2,800)
    • Or we can go to Buffalo here and pray that Mahomes isn’t 100 percent and the Chiefs offense isn’t looking like a normal cheat code. The Bills have also done a great job converting turnovers into scores recently, as well.

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